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Auckland house prices rise amidst restrained growth

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Auckland, September 5, 2016

Peter Thompson

Auckland house prices continued to rise in August but signs the rate of increase is slowing,

which first showed up in July, were still present.

August price increase was restrained, for both the average price and the median price.

The slow-down is not so obvious when comparing August data with that for July, but when you look at the average for the previous three months it becomes more apparent.

The average sales price in August was $906,560. While this was up 4.5% on that for July, it was up only 2.6 % on the average price over the previous three months.

Our data shows that those claiming the average price is on the verge of topping $1 million are over inflating where prices are heading. ”While prices continue to rise, for the past five months buyers have not been prepared to pay more than they believe is the market price.

The same trend can be seen with the median price, which at $850,000 for August is up 1.2% on July figures and up 2.5% for the average for the previous three months.

Current price increases are relatively modest compared with what has occurred in recent years.

The slowdown can also be seen when comparing August’s sales numbers, listings at month end and new listings with the average for these statistics for the previous three months.

Sales numbers were down 9.2%, available properties up 6% and new listings remained at the same level.

Market heat

It has led to a small increase in the choice available for buyers.

It all adds up to some heat coming out of the market.

The continued rise in prices with lower sales indicates that new regulations requiring investors to have greater equity than previously, which the trading banks enforced at the start of August, has had a limited impact on prices but may have affected sales numbers.

Sales numbers in August at 1003 were down 3% on those for July and 25.5% lower than in August last year.

New listings in the month at 1706 were up 19.6% on those for July and 4% lower than in July last year.

Available properties at month end at 3151 were at their highest for five months, and up 4% on those at the end of July and up 6.6% on those for the same month last year.

The real test of where prices are heading will come this month with the arrival of spring.

For the past three years, September’s average and median prices have exceeded those for August, with prices then continuing to increase to year end.

During August 347 properties, representing 34.6% of properties sold for in excess of $1 million and 109 properties, representing 10.9 % of all sales, sold for under $500,000.

Peter Thompson is Managing Director of Barfoot & Thompson.

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