Collin Tukuitonga
Auckland, September 21, 2021
Auckland’s move to Alert Level 3 has also triggered speculation about whether the national Covid-19 elimination strategy has failed or is even being abandoned.
While the government denies it, others clearly believe that it is at least a possibility.
The uncertainty is troubling. If elimination fails or is abandoned, it suggests that we have not learnt the lessons of history, particularly when it comes to our more vulnerable populations.
In 1918, the mortality rate among Maori from the influenza pandemic was eight times that of Europeans. The avoidable introduction of influenza to Samoa from Aotearoa resulted in the deaths of about 22% of the population.
Similar observations were seen in subsequent influenza outbreaks in Aotearoa in 1957 and 2009 for both Maori and Pasifika people. These trends are well known and documented.
Living with the Virus
And yet, despite concerns, we could see the same thing happen again. There have been repeated claims that an elimination strategy cannot succeed.
Some business owners, politicians and media commentators have called for a change in approach that would see Aotearoa “learn to live with the virus.”
This is premature and likely to expose vulnerable members of our communities to the disease. Abandoning the elimination strategy while vaccine coverage rates remain low among the most vulnerable people would be reckless and irresponsible.
In short, more Maori and Pasifika people would die.
Far better will be to stick to the original plan that has served the country well, lift vaccination coverage rates with more urgency, and revise the strategy when vaccination rates among Maori and Pasifika people are as high as possible, no less than 90%.
Impact of lockdowns
After 18 months of dealing with the pandemic, it is important to remember that Aotearoa’s response has been based on sound Science and strong political leadership. The elimination strategy has proved effective at home and has been admired internationally.
Of course, it has come with a price. In particular, the restrictions have had a major impact on small businesses and personal incomes, student life and learning, and well-being in general. Many families have needed additional food parcels and social support, and there are reports of an increasing incidence of family harm.
The latest Delta outbreak has also seen the longest level 4 lockdown in Auckland, with at least two further weeks at level 3, and there is no doubt many people are struggling to cope with the restrictions. The “long tail” of infections will test everyone further.
Effects on Maori and Pacifika
There is no easy way to protect the most vulnerable people from the life-threatening risk of Covid-19 and the likely impact on the public health system if it were to get out of control.
The alternative, however, is worse.
We know that Maori and Pasifika people are most at risk of infection from Covid-19, of being hospitalised and dying from the disease. Various studies have confirmed this, but we also must acknowledge why, entrenched socioeconomic disadvantage, overcrowded housing and higher prevalence of underlying health conditions.
More than 50% of all new cases in the current outbreak are among Pasifika people and the number of new cases among Maori is increasing. If and when the pandemic is over, the implications of these socioeconomic factors must be part of any review of the pandemic strategy.
Vaccination rates and risks
Furthermore, the national vaccination rollout has again shown up the chronic entrenched inequities in the health system. While the rollout is finally gaining momentum, with more and better options offered by and for Māori and Pasifika people, their comparative vaccination rates have lagged significantly.
Community leaders and health professionals have long called for Maori and Pasifika vaccination to be prioritised.
But the official rhetoric has not been matched by the reality, as evidenced by our most at-risk communities still having the lowest vaccination coverage rates in the country.
Te Ropu Whakakaupapa Uruta (the National Maori Pandemic Group) and the Pasifika Medical Association have repeatedly called for their communities to be empowered and resourced to own, lead and deliver vaccination rollouts in ways that work for their communities.
Te Ropu Whakakaupapa Uruta has also said that Auckland should have remained at Level 4, with the border extended to include the areas of concern in the Waikato.
As has been pointed out by those closest to those communities, however, their advice has consistently not been heeded. The resulting delays only risk increasing the need for the kinds of lockdowns and restrictions everyone must endure until vaccination rates are higher.
There is a reason we do not hear many voices in Maori and Pasifika communities asking for an end to elimination. Left unchecked, Covid-19 disproportionately affects minority communities and the most vulnerable.
“Living with the virus” effectively means some people dying with it.
We know who many of them would be.
Collin Tukuitonga is Associate Dean Pacific and Associate Professor of Public Health at the University of Auckland. The above article has been published under Creative Commons Licence.
